PUBLISHER: Digital TV Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1448080
PUBLISHER: Digital TV Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1448080
Western Europe Pay TV Forecasts
Western Europe will lose nearly 9 million pay TV subscribers between 2023 and 2029 to reach 93 million - down by 8%. This is nowhere near as bad as the US as pay TV penetration will still be 53% by 2029 - down from 58% in 2023.
Pay TV subscriber counts will fall for 14 of the 18 countries between 2023 and 2029. Germany will lose 2.7 million subs, with the UK down by 2.0 million, Italy 1.5 million and France by 1.1 million.
IPTV will gain 1 million subscribers between 2023 and 2029, with pay satellite TV down by 6.4 million, pay DTT down by 0.8 million and cable down by 2.4 million.
Simon Murray , Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: "Pay satellite TV will be the biggest loser because most DTH platforms do not offer broadband access. However, this is not true of Sky, which wants to convert its satellite TV subscribers to its streaming platforms. Sky will lose 1.8 million satellite TV subs in both Germany and the UK as well as a further 1.3 million in Italy - or nearly 5 million between 2023 and 2029."
Table of Contents
Published in March 2024, this 106-page PDF and excel report comes in two parts:
- Insight: Detailed country-by-country analysis in a 64-page PDF document.
- Excel workbook covering each year from 2015 to 2029 for 18 countries by household penetration, by pay TV subscribers, by pay TV revenues and by major operator. As well as summary tables by country and by platform;
Forecasts for the following 18 countries and 75 operators:
| Country | No of ops | Operators |
| Austria | 5 | Telekom Austria; Magenta; Sky; Liwest; HD Austria |
| Belgium | 5 | Proximus; Telenet; VOO; Telesat/TV Vlaanderen; Orange |
| Denmark | 6 | Allente; You See; Stofa; Boxer; TDC; Telia |
| Finland | 4 | Elisa; Telia; DNA; Allente; Digita |
| France | 6 | Orange; SFR; CanalSat; Free; Bouygues; TNT |
| Germany | 6 | Vodafone; DT/T-Home; Sky; Telecolumbus; HD+; Freenet |
| Iceland | 2 | Vodafone, Siminn |
| Ireland | 3 | Virgin; Sky; eir |
| Italy | 3 | Sky; Telecom Italia; Vodafone |
| Luxembourg | 2 | Tele des P&T; Eltrona |
| Malta | 2 | Melita; Go |
| Netherlands | 5 | Ziggo; Canal Digitaal; Tele 2; KPN/Digitenne |
| Norway | 5 | Allente; Riks TV; Telenor; Telia; Altibox |
| Portugal | 4 | Meo/PT; NOS; Nowo; Vodafone |
| Spain | 4 | Vodafone; Telefonica/Movistar; Euskaltel; Orange |
| Sweden | 5 | Allente; Tele 2; Telia; Boxer; Telenor |
| Switzerland | 3 | Swisscom; UPC; Sunrise |
| UK | 4 | Sky; Virgin; BT; TalkTalk |
