PUBLISHER: Auto2x | PRODUCT CODE: 1302352
PUBLISHER: Auto2x | PRODUCT CODE: 1302352
ADAS Suppliers will increase their revenues to €35 Billion in 2025, capitalizing on the increasing fitment of sensor content for Level 2-3 and Level 4 autonomous driving.
The Autonomous Driving market presents strong opportunities for incumbent suppliers and OEMs, but also for new players with expertise in AI, compute and cloud technologies.
Read our report to learn about the rankings and market shares of the major suppliers in ADAS & Automated Driving by revenues, sensors and applications.
The ADAS companies and ADAS Suppliers examined include APTIV, Bosch, Continental, Denso, Hella, Hitachi, Hyundai Mobis, Magna, Mobileye, Valeo, Veoneer, Zenuity, ZF, Baidu, Huawei, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Samsung.
Our report also provides forecasts by 2025-30 by key sensors and major geographies.
The Top-4 Automotive Suppliers of ADAS are all European, Bosch, Valeo, ZF and Continental, according to Auto2x's Global Supplier Ranking by ADAS Revenues.
The 4% growth in automotive production in 2022, combined with the higher sensor fitment to support new launches of Level 2-3 systems, benefited their ADAS sales and Order Books.
Mobileye is recording lower revenues from ADAS but has high market share. In May 2023, Mobileye's CEO announced the integration of their Mobileye SuperVision to Porsche's future models, following fitment in Geely models in China.
Most of the ADAS revenue comes from sensors (cameras, radars, lidar, ultrasonics and supercomputers) to support Level 1-2 features.
Revenues from ADAS & Automated Driving will almost double between 2021 and 2025 to reach €35 Billion due to the increase in sensor content. Level 3 and 4 require enhanced redundancy, new centralized architecture, & driver-facing camera among others. This will drive demand for ADAS sensors, super-computers, AI, HD maps etc. It will also drive further collaboration between OEMs and Tier 1s-2s for the development of AD platforms.
When taking into account the ADAS Order Intake for 2016-22, we can see the strong demand Aptiv, Bosch and Continental are already experiencing for their ADAS portfolio. Actually, for Aptiv it's almost 5 times higher than its 2016 ADAS revenues whereas for Bosch and Continental it's a 2.9 and 3.5 multiple respectively.
These figures demonstrate that these suppliers already have a substantial ADAS order book in place, which could take circa 3 years to deliver, without factoring in new business (e.g. for higher autonomy). Therefore, there is strong potential for ADAS revenue growth until 2020 and beyond.
Auto2x assesses that in 2019 Bosch overtook Continental in terms of global ADAS revenues and maintained this position in 2020. This was attributed to the higher ADAS revenue growth Bosch recorded for the period 2015-2020 (Bosch CAGR: 32.9%) compared to Continental (CAGR 27.7%).
Auto2x expects that in 2022, 42 models capable of Level 3 autonomy (Traffic Jam Pilot, Highway Pilot) and 108 models with Level 2 (Traffic Jam Assist, Cruise Assist) -mostly as optional equipment -were offered in Europe, as the regulatory hurdles gradually clear away.
Since many carmakers don't manufacture ADAS features or sensors in-house, they rely on suppliers who are the leading manufacturers and distributors of components and features.
In 2019, Bosch's sales of driver assistance systems rose by 12% to around €2 billion. Apart from the leaders, other ADAS suppliers with smaller market shares in ADAS saw a substantial increase in ADAS business in the last 2 years. Bosch, the world's largest supplier by automotive revenue, saw revenues down by 7.9% in 2020 to €71.6 Billion from €77.7Bn in 2019, according to its preliminary figures.
In 2019, ZF's Electronics & ADAS division recorded sales of €1,848 million, up 10.9% from 2019 (€1.67 billion), according to their 2019 Annual report. The division accounted for 5% of ZF's total sales. The main driver for the growth in ADAS was the rising demand for camera-based ADAS.
ADAS sensors such as cameras and radar for cruising, parking, and safety ADAS still account for the majority of ADAS sales for major Tier-1s.
ADAS suppliers introduced new functionalities in 2020, such as Bosch's new MPC3 video camera with AI-based object detection.
New business lines grow in order intake, among them supercomputers and lidar.
"There are a lot of long range LIDAR players out there today but only a few in the nearfield, short range", says Paul Drysch, the Founder and CEO of PreAct Technologies. PreAct was founded in 2018 and its headquartered in Portland, Oregon.
"That's why we specifically decided to only go after the nearfield market. When we started the company, over three and a half years ago now, there was essentially nobody doing nearfield LIDAR. Everybody was focused on long range. Long range LIDAR is a technology that's looking for a market.
On the contrary, nearfield sensing is already a $30 billion a year market. Sensors used are either ultrasonic sensors, short range radar, or RGB cameras, or some combination of that. We started the company with the goal of replacing those other nearfield sensors with ours. Why is that important? Because ultrasonic sensors and short range radar, especially very old technologies, are really holding back a lot of the self-driving functionality".
Already, Top ADAS Tier-1s such as Bosch, Continental and Aptiv, have recorded billions in ADAS Order Intake while they continue to invest to increase production capacity and shorten time-to-market. To close the technological gap and accelerate time-to-market, partnerships and synergies gain momentum to share costs and knowledge.
Major Automotive Suppliers aim to secure their position as leading providers of automated driving solutions. They are also looking to become providers of Mobility solutions and focus on Software and AI. These forces sparked a strong uptake in the re-organization of ADAS segments of major Suppliers in 2020.
As mobility shifts from product to service, the world's biggest automotive ADAS suppliers are striving to develop capabilities in AI and software.
As new competitors enter the market, such as Qualcomm with the acquisition of Veoneer, legacy suppliers will need to protect existing contracts and expand to more carmakers and new business models to retain revenue growth.
Our Tier-1 Supplier Ranking by ADAS revenues (EUR Bn) includes: Aptiv, Bosch, Continental, Denso, Hella, Hitachi, Magna, Mobileye, Valeo, Veoneer, and ZF. We also cover the readiness level of Baidu, Huawei, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Samsung, Tencent
A more descriptive list of companies examined includes:
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Aeva, Aeye, Aimotive, Aisin Seiki, Alibaba, Ambarella, APTIV, Autoliv, Baidu, Bosch, Continental, Cruise, Delphi, Denso, EyeSight, Green Hills Software, Harman, Hella, HERE, Hitachi, Hyundai Mobis, Ibeo, Infineon, Innoviz, Kostal, Luminar, Magna, Mobileye, NVIDIA, OmniVision, OTTO, QNX, Renesas, Takata Corporation, Texas Instruments, TRW Automotive, TTTech, UBER, Valeo, Velodyne, Veoneer, Visteon, Wabco, Waymo, Zenuity, ZF.