2023 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2027

Description

Simba's 2023 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2027 analyzes trends in the K-12 instructional materials market, focusing on state adoption activities in 2023-2024. Key findings include declining student proficiency in reading and mathematics, with widening demographic achievement gaps. Major adoptions centered on science in Florida and Texas, with Savvas Learning and McGraw Hill leading in title adoptions. The report highlights the growing adoption of science-based reading instruction and anticipates significant future adoptions in ELA and mathematics. The analysis provides strategic insights for publishers navigating a dynamic educational landscape including market dynamics, policy changes, and curriculum innovations that are driving the current and future landscape of educational resources. It is a critical resource for educators, policymakers, and industry stakeholders looking to navigate and influence the instructional materials marketplace.

Product Code: CURP19108872

Table of Content

METHODOLOGY

OVERVIEW

SOURCES

Associations and Nonprofits

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

KEY FINDINGS

CHAPTER 1: MARKET ENVIRONMENT

BACKGROUND
CRITICAL MASS
Adoption Processes
Market Influence
ADOPTION STATE DYNAMICS
State Control Versus Local Autonomy
Academic Standards
Textbook Evaluation Processes
MARKET DRIVERS
Historic Decline in Math and Reading Skills
Chart 1-1. NAEP Long-Term Trend Assessment: Reading Proficiency of Thirteen-Year-Olds 1971-2023
Chart 1-2. NAEP Long-Term Trend Assessment: 2023 Math Proficiency of Thirteen-Year-Olds 1971-
2023
The Nation's Report Card
State Level Performance
Table 1-1. Percent of Fourth-Grade Students Performing At or Above NAEP-Proficient Level in
Adoption States 2022
Rising Education Activism
Changing Education Landscape
Chart 1-3. Net Population Gains: Adoption States 2022 versus 2021
POLICY AND LEGISLATION TRENDS
Literacy Initiatives
Lowering of Academic Standards
Curriculum Battlegrounds
Expansion of School Choice
Table 1-2. Adoption States: Policy and Legislation Background

CHAPTER 2: 2023-2024 STATE ADOPTION YEAR RESULTS

SCIENCE ADOPTION FOR FLORIDA
Growth Environment
Turnaround for Florida Education
Fifteen Publishers Bid for K-12 Science
Instructional Materials Evaluation
Adoption Flashpoints
Climate Change Issues
K-5 Science Adoptions
Table 2-1. Florida K-5 Science Instructional Materials: Final Adoption List July 2024
Middle School Science Adoptions
Table 2-2. Florida Grades 6-8 Science Instructional Materials: Final Adoption List
Florida High School Science Adoptions
Publisher Performance
INDIANA ELA ADOPTION
Plummeting Student Assessments
ILEARN Trends
Chart 2-1. Indiana Student ILEARN Results: Percentage of Students in Grades Three to Eight Rated
ELA-Proficient 2018-2024
Achievement Gaps
Chart 2-2. ILEARN Assessment: Percentage of Grades 3-8 Rated Proficient in English/Language Arts by
Ethnicity 2021-2024
Grade Three Reading Assessments
Chart 2-3. Foundational Reading Skills Among Indiana Third-Graders: IREAD-3 Passage Rates 2012-
2023
Indiana's Vision for Literacy
State Literacy Plan
Indiana Academic Standards
Science of Reading Mandate
Curriculum Selection
K-5 ELA Curricula
Table 2-3. Indiana High-Quality Curricular Materials Advisory List: K-5 ELA
MATHEMATICS ADOPTION FOR OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma Edge
Public Schools and Religion
The Bible in the Classroom
Overhaul of Social Studies Standards
Mounting Opposition
Private School Choice
Evaluation Process
K-8 Math Adoption
High School Math Adoption
Publisher Performance
Table 2-4. Oklahoma K-12 Math Instructional Materials: Final Ratings and Approvals
FOCUS ON LITERACY IN SOUTH CAROLINA
Growth Trends
State Investments in Education
South Carolina Student Profile
Read to Succeed Act 2.0
South Carolina K-12 ELA
Publisher Performance
Table 2-5. South Carolina K-12 English Language Arts and Grades 2 and 3 Handwriting: Adopted
Instructional Materials
EDUCATION AT SCALE IN TEXAS
Texas Student Population
Lawmakers Address Education Issues
Instructional Materials Evaluation
Elevating Instructional Materials Quality
Districts Get Carrots Not Sticks
K-12 SCIENCE ADOPTION IN TEXAS
Texas K-5 Science
Table 2-6. Texas K-5 Science: Instructional Materials Adopted by State Board of Education
Texas Middle School and High School Science Adoptions
Publisher Performance
Table 2-7. Texas Middle and High School Grades Science: Instructional Materials Adopted by the State
Board of Education
ADOPTION SCORECARD 2023
Chart 2-4. 2023-2024 Adoptions: Student Population by State Millions of Students
Publisher Performance: Science Adoptions
Chart 2-5. Florida and Texas K-12 Science Adoptions: Number of Adopted Titles by Publisher
Publisher Performance: ELA and Math Adoptions
Chart 2-6. Indiana K-5 ELA, South Carolina K-12 ELA and Oklahoma K-12 Math: Number of Adopted
Titles by Publisher
Publisher Performance: Overall
Chart 2-7. Aggregate Performance Across Five State Adoptions: Number of Adopted Titles by Leading
Publishers
MARKET INSIGHTS FROM 2023-2024 ADOPTIONS

CHAPTER 3: THE 2024 ADOPTION YEAR AND BEYOND

INTRODUCTION
TEXAS ADOPTION OF K-5 ENGLISH LANGUAGE ARTS AND READING
2024 ELA Proficiency
RLA Proficiency
RLA Mastery
State Unveils OER
Focus On Foundational Skills
Table 3-1. Texas 2024-2025 English Language Arts and Reading Adoption: Grades K-5 Materials Under
Review
TEXAS K-12 MATH ADOPTION
Declining Math Skills
Publishers in the Texas Math Adoption
Table 3-2. Texas 2024-2025 Mathematics Adoption: Grades K-12 Materials Under Review
FLORIDA K-12 ELA AND READING INTERVENTION
Advancing Literacy and Math Skills
Launch of Progress Monitoring
Florida Charts New Path in ELA
K-5 ELA and Reading
Table 3-3. Florida 2024-2025 English Language Arts Adoption: Elementary Grades Short Bid Report
Florida Middle Grades ELA and Reading
Table 3-4. Florida 2024-2025 ELA Adoption: Middle Grades Short Bid Report
Florida High School ELA and Reading
MATH EQUITY IN CALIFORNIA
Rethinking Math Instruction
Math Framework Highlights
Voices of Opposition
Lagging Math Proficiency
Achievement Gaps
New Math Instructional Materials
Districts Updating Math Materials Prior to State Adoption
Math In the Spotlight
The Science of Math
CONCLUSIONS
ADOPTION OUTLOOK
2024-2025
2025-2026
2026-2027
2027-2028
Table 3-5. Instructional Materials Adoption Outlook: 2024-2027
APPENDIX
Table A-1. Florida Grades 9-12 Science Instructional Materials: Final Adoption List
Table A-2. Florida 2024-2025 ELA Adoption: High School Grades Short Bid Report