Low GWP Refrigerant Market Report: Trends, Forecast and Competitive Analysis to 2030

Low GWP Refrigerant Trends and Forecast

The future of the global low GWP refrigerant market looks promising with opportunities in the commercial refrigeration, industrial refrigeration, domestic refrigeration, stationary air-conditioning, and mobile air-conditioning markets. The global low GWP refrigerant market is expected to reach an estimated $42.7 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 10.8% from 2024 to 2030. The major drivers for this market are increasing commercial air conditioning product use, the demand for more efficient refrigeration across a range of industries, the expanding use of hydrocarbons, and the creation of novel low-GWP refrigerants.

• Lucintel forecasts that hydrocarbon segment is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period because the hydrocarbon refrigerants have excellent thermodynamic properties, and refrigerating and air-conditioning systems operating using these substances are highly energy-efficient.
• APAC will remain the largest region over the forecast period due to the fast population expansion, urbanization, and economic development in Southeast Asian, Indian, and Chinese nations, as well as, rising need for cooling systems that are both ecologically and energy-efficient.

Emerging Trends in the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

There are new market trends that are developing in the low GWP refrigerants market that are as a result of the technological evolution, regulatory evolution and environmental practices. These trends are responsible for the history and future of the industry through the influence on product development and market expansion initiatives.

• Adoption of HFOs: Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs), which have a very low global warming potential, have also seen a high rate of market penetration as a substitute for traditional coolants. These new refrigeration systems benefit from their relatively low global warming potential and higher operational effectiveness as compared to existing units.
• Growth of Natural Refrigerants: Natural refrigerants, such as CO2, ammonia, and hydrocarbons, are becoming increasingly popular as they are kinder to the environment. They offer a greener and cost effective solution across the board and particularly in commercial and industrial refrigeration.
• Regulatory Push for Phase-Outs: The phase out of high GWP refrigerants flows automatically in response to more rigid regulations and to international agreements like the Kigali Amendment. This regulatory impetus makes it easier to switch to low GWP alternatives and to have the entire industry conform.
• Technological Innovations: Many improvements in the formulations of low GWP refrigerants and their systems are making them work more efficiently and effectively. GWP facts in Egypt. There are barriers and as well as strengths of these trends.
• Increased Focus on Energy Efficiency: There is an increasing challenge in enhancing the energy efficiency of low GWP refrigerants used in air conditioning and refrigeration systems. When using such energy efficient systems, the amount of energy consumption is minimized and operational cost lowered that also helps achieve the environmental to energy goals.

Some notable trends in the low GWP refrigerant markets are the shift to HFO adoption, expansion of natural refrigerants, regulatory phase out, technological advancement and energy efficiency focus. These trends are altering the market by bringing in sustainable opportunities and improvement on refrigerants technologies.

Recent Developments in the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Trends related to the low GWP refrigerant market in recent times indicate increasing technological, regulatory and market development. These developments are causing a move towards more environmental friendly refrigerant solutions and improving general practices in the industry.

• Launch of New HFO Products: More products manufacturers have entered the market with new HFO refrigerants with GWP characteristics that are lower but with enhanced performance. There are new products that have been developed for various applications to comply with new regulations and for more effective operation.
• Natural Refrigerant Usage Expansion: Both commercial and industrial practices are featuring the increasing use of natural refrigerants such as CO2 and ammonia. This change is induced because of the environmental efficiency of natural refrigerants.
• Regulatory Compliance Initiatives - New regulations and standards which aim to eliminate the use of high GWP refrigerants, for instance, Kigali Amendment and the EU F-gas Regulation, are currently in the process of being enacted. Such regulatory environment is encouraging investors into low-GWP refrigerant technology.
• Refrigerant Management Systems Development: Development in most of the refrigerant management techniques such as the leak detection and recovery processes is enhancing the usage and the economy of low GWP refrigerants. These advances also help achieve better performance of the entire system and environmental regulations.
• Growing R&D Expenditure: There is increased research and development expenditure on the new low-GWP replacements and improvement of current technologies. This movement is caused by the focus that is being put on R&D to create an enable environment for innovation which is addressing the need for sustainable refrigerants.

New developments in the low GWP refrigerant market are the introduction of the new HFO products, Extension of the usage of natural refrigerants, Regulatory market compliance approaches, technological advancement in refrigerant management and More Investment in R&D. These developments are pushing the market towards the utilization of more effective and sustainable refrigerants.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Strategic growth opportunities in the low GWP refrigerant market are advised from the perspective of technological changes, regulatory changes and growing market demand for such equipment. Emergence of these opportunities is important for the market participants who wish to benefit from new trends and increase their footprint.

• Development of Advanced HFOs: There are growth prospects in the business of developing advanced HFO refrigerants, which have a better performance and lower GWP. Take advantage of advanced HFO refrigerants that comply with the latest regulatory frameworks and offer competitive efficiencies for many applications.
• Expansion into Emerging Markets: Venturing into emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Africa, where there are increasing demands for refrigeration and air conditioning systems, widens the market for the company. In these geographical markets, low-GWP solutions can be offered, resulting in market growth and new customer acquisition.
• Integration of Natural Refrigerants: Growth opportunities lie in the creation and marketing of natural refrigerants to be employed in commercial and industrial uses. Natural refrigerants have zero ozone depletion & global warming potential and thus contribute positively to the environment.
• Innovation in Refrigerant Management Systems: There is a scope for leak detection and recovery system improvement and refrigerant management technologies development and commercialization. Along with low-GWP refrigerants these innovations improve the processes and compliance with the regulatory requirements in the industry.
• Partnerships and Collaborations: An excellent base for advancing the business is to align with other market players by forming partnerships and collaboration with technological innovators regulatory authorities, and industry sponsoring parties. Collaborations can hasten the development and the acceptance of low GWP refrigerants and broaden the geographical coverage.

Potential opportunities in the market for low GWP refrigerants mainly involve the strategic development of high GWP reducing compounds, honing in on emerging markets, the use and uptake of natural refrigerants, advances in RMS, and active participation. These opportunities are reshaping the market and foster the important move towards greener solutions in refrigerant use.

Low GWP Refrigerant Market Driver and Challenges

There are several drivers and challenges that affect the Low GWP refrigerant market such as technology, regulations, and economics. It is important to appreciate these factors so as to operate within the market and grow.

The factors responsible for driving the low GWP refrigerant market include:

1. Regulatory Support: Enhanced regulations and international treaties such as the Kigali Amendment, call for the use of low GWP refrigerants. Following these regulations facilitates the phase out of the high GWP refrigerants hence supporting market growth.

2. Technological Advancements: The market also benefitted from new developments on the refrigerant technology which includes new formulated HFOs and the use of natural refrigerants. These technologies enhance performance and efficiency making it possible to transit to low GWP options.

3. Environmental Awareness: Climate change and its adverse effects have created a need for low-GWP non-ozone depleting fluids. There is an increased demand for low-carbon alternatives in society and in businesses.

4. Driven by Energy Efficiency: The focus on energy-efficient refrigeration and air conditioning systems which utilizes low GWP refrigerants is strengthening the growth of the market. The implementation of energy-efficient systems reduces costs of operations and contributes to the environmental cause.

5. Market Growth: Rising air conditioning and refrigeration requirements among emerging economies present opportunities in the low GWP refrigerant market. Growth in these regions will provide avenues for market expansion and the growth in the use of green technologies.

Challenges in the low GWP refrigerant market are:

1. High Transition Costs: The changes associated with shifting from high-GWP to low GWP refrigerants may be too high, costs associated with new kinds of equipment, new technologies and many others may be incurred. These costs pose a challenge to the business in terms of integration.

2. Regulatory Complexity: The stress and potential disruptions associated with regarding compliance to regulations can be overwhelming. Compliance with both local and international regulations requires budgets and resources.

3. Limited Infrastructure: However, the lack of infrastructure for management and reclamation of Low GWP refrigerants in some areas may limit market growth. Building the appropriate infrastructure is crucial for the overall market uptake.

Among the main drivers for the low GWP refrigerant market are regulation policies support, technology evolution, environmental awareness, improvement in energy efficiency and market growth. Barriers to such revolutions include high cost of the transition, regulatory reform, limited infrastructure, market competition, and compatibility with various technologies. It is important to consider these factors in order to achieve survival and market expansion.

List of Low GWP Refrigerant Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies low GWP refrigerant companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the low GWP refrigerant companies profiled in this report include-

• Linde Group
• Honeywell
• Sinochem
• Airgas
• Engas Australasia
• A-Gas
• Puyang Zhongwei Fine Chemical
• Harp International
• Tazzetti
• Shandong Yueon Chemical Industry

Low GWP Refrigerant by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global low GWP refrigerant by type, application, and region.

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Type [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

• Fluorocarbons
• Hydrocarbons
• Inorganics

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Application [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

• Commercial Refrigeration
• Industrial Refrigeration
• Domestic Refrigeration
• Stationary Air-conditioning
• Mobile Air-conditioning
• Others

Low GWP Refrigerant Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Major players in the market are expanding their operations and forming strategic partnerships to strengthen their positions. Below image highlights recent developments by major low GWP refrigerant producers in key regions: the USA, China, India, Japan, and Germany

• United States: In the U.S., development of low GWP refrigerants particularly hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) and natural refrigerants is on the rise. The introduction of new regulations under the American Innovation and Manufacturing (AIM) Act is also driving the need to phase-out high-GWP refrigerants, hence creating opportunities for investment in low-GWP alternatives.
• China: China is looking to ramp up its production facilities that cater to low GWP refrigerants like HFOs and CO2 primarily. The Government's support for the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol is distancing them with the high GWP refrigerants in line with the prevailing international standards.
• Germany: Due to strict legislation enacted by the EU, Germany is also one of the most advanced countries in the introduction of low GWP refrigerants. Recent achievements are modified formulations of HFOs and better management strategies for refrigerants in compliance with the f-gas regulation and moving towards low-GWP alternatives.
• India: India has already set the path in utilizing low GWP refrigerants in order to protect nature and the environment. There is a particular drive for low-GWP options in the commercial and industrial segments to meet the regulatory initiatives and growing concerns about climate change.
• Japan: Japan is making strides in ensuring low GWP refrigerants are adopted through making available protocols and technological advances. These include the step towards low GWP air conditioners and the development of natural refrigerants which are in compliance with the local, regional and global environmental laws.

Features of the Global Low GWP Refrigerant Market

Market Size Estimates: Low GWP refrigerants market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2018 to 2023) and forecast (2024 to 2030) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Low GWP refrigerants market size by type, application, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Low GWP refrigerants market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different type, application, and regions for the low GWP refrigerant market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the low GWP refrigerant market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

If you are looking to expand your business in this market or adjacent markets, then contact us. We have done hundreds of strategic consulting projects in market entry, opportunity screening, due diligence, supply chain analysis, M & A, and more.

FAQ

Q1. What is the low GWP refrigerant market size?

Answer: The global low GWP refrigerant market is expected to reach an estimated $42.7 billion by 2030.

Q2. What is the growth forecast for low GWP refrigerant market?

Answer: The global low GWP refrigerant market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 10.8% from 2024 to 2030.

Q3. What are the major drivers influencing the growth of the low GWP refrigerant market?

Answer: The major drivers for this market are increasing commercial air conditioning product use, the demand for more efficient refrigeration across a range of industries, the expanding use of hydrocarbons, and the creation of novel low-GWP refrigerants.

Q4. What are the major segments for low GWP refrigerant market?

Answer: The future of the global low GWP refrigerant market looks promising with opportunities in the commercial refrigeration, industrial refrigeration, domestic refrigeration, stationary air-conditioning, and mobile air-conditioning markets.

Q5. Who are the key low GWP refrigerant market companies?

Answer: Some of the key low GWP refrigerant companies are as follows:

• Linde Group
• Honeywell
• Sinochem
• Airgas
• Engas Australasia
• A-Gas
• Puyang Zhongwei Fine Chemical
• Harp International
• Tazzetti
• Shandong Yueon Chemical Industry

Q6. Which low GWP refrigerant market segment will be the largest in future?

Answer: Lucintel forecasts that hydrocarbon segment is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period because the hydrocarbon refrigerants have excellent thermodynamic properties, and refrigerating and air-conditioning systems operating using these substances are highly energy-efficient.

Q7. In low GWP refrigerant market, which region is expected to be the largest in next 5 years?

Answer: APAC will remain the largest region over the forecast period due to the fast population expansion, urbanization, and economic development in Southeast Asian, Indian, and Chinese nations, as well as, rising need for cooling systems that are both ecologically and energy-efficient.

Q.8 Do we receive customization in this report?

Answer: Yes, Lucintel provides 10% customization without any additional cost.

This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the low GWP refrigerant market by type (fluorocarbons, hydrocarbons, and inorganics), application (commercial refrigeration, industrial refrigeration, domestic refrigeration, stationary air-conditioning, mobile air-conditioning, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?
• Market Report