The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) announced global semiconductor
industry sales totaled $526.8 billion in 2023, a decrease of 8.2% compared to the 2022
total of $574.1 billion, which was the industry's highest-ever annual total. Sales picked
up during the second half of 2023. In fact, fourth-quarter sales of $146.0 billion were
11.6% more than the total from the fourth quarter of 2022 and 8.4% higher than the
total from third quarter of 2023. And global sales for the month of December 2023
were $48.6 billion, an increase of 1.5% compared to November 2023 total. Monthly
sales are compiled by the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) organization
and represent a three-month moving average. SIA represents 99% of the U.S.
semiconductor industry by revenue and nearly two-thirds of non-U.S. chip firms.
On a regional basis, Europe was the only regional market that experienced
annual growth in 2023, with sales there increasing 4.0%. Annual sales into all other
regional markets decreased in 2023: Japan (-3.1%), the Americas (-5.2%), Asia-
Pacific/All Other (-10.1%), and China (-14.0%). Sales for the month of December 2023
increased compared to November 2023 in China (4.7%), the Americas (1.8%), and Asia
Pacific/All Other (0.3%), but decreased in Japan (-2.4%) and Europe (-3.9%).
Several semiconductor product segments stood out in 2023. Sales of logic
products totaled $178.5 billion in 2023, making it the largest product category by sales.
Memory products were second in terms of sales, totaling $92.3 billion. Microcontroller
units (MCUs) grew by 11.4% to a total of $27.9 billion. And sales of automotive ICs
grew by 23.7% year-over-year to a record total of $42.2 billion.
Global economic slowdowns and capes overspend were catalysts for producing
an oversupply of semiconductors and an equipment meltdown in 2023. A significant
capacity expansion is underway as current fabs expand and new fabs are planned.
A push by the Biden administration to invest $50 billion on domestic
manufacturing facilities to improve US self-sufficiency and reduce reliance on Asia has
initiated a course that will likely result in oversupply and capacity expansion:
Intel
- Arizona - Fab 42 expansion for 7nm capacity
- Oregon - Fab D1X $3B Mod3 expansion; tools installed Aug. '21 to Feb. '22
- New Mexico - $3.5B spend for advanced packaging
- Israel - $10B 7nm fab; 2023 production
- Ireland - spent additional $7B from 2019-2021 to expand to 7nm
- Arizona Foundry $20B for 2 fabs (~35k wspm each) starting production in 2023 and 2024
- Malaysia - $7B for advanced packaging fab expansion; 2024 production
TSMC
- Fab 18 - 3nm $20B fab expected to be completed in 2023
- Arizona Fab -$12B over time; 5nm initial phase to produce 20k wspm starting in 1Q24 with equipment installation commencing in 2H2022
- Japan 22 / 28nm fab with Sony; $7B 45k wspm targeting late 2024 production
- 7/6nm & 28nm fab in Kaohsiung, Taiwan for 2024 production for a reported $10B; phase 1 = 40k wspm for 7nm and 6nm with phase 2 for 28nm
Samsung
- Pyeongtaek line 3 (P3) equipment move-in expected to start in April 2022; rst 40-50k wspm 176L 3D NAND line, 130k-140k wspm DRAM and 10k-20k wspm 5nm foundry lines in 2H2022
- Pyeongtaek P2 S5-1; 3nm 60k wspm in 2021 & ramp to 120k wspm in 2022
- Pyeongtaek P2 S5-2; 3nm 60k wspm targeted production in 2024
- U.S. $17B 5nm Foundry fab in Texas; expected 2H2024 production (120k wspm est.)
GlobalFoundries
- $4 billion Singapore Module 7H 38k wspm starting wafer production in early-2023; full ramp end of 2023
- $1B Malta New York fab expansion of 12,500 wspm; additional fab to double capacity
- Spending $1.4B to expand capacity in U.S., Singapore, and Germany
SMIC
- 100k wspm 28nm & above fab for $8.87B in Shanghai; timing unknown
- 40k wspm 28nm & above fab in Shenzhen for $2.35B; production starting 2022
UMC
- Fab 12A Phase 6 (P6) $3.5B plan for expansion; scheduled for production in 2Q23
Kioxia / Western Digital
- Fab 7 in Mie Prefecture, Japan; expected production in late 2022 / early 2023
- Kitakami (K2) fab at $18.4B expected completion in early 2023; use of Yokkaichi equip.?
Micron
- DRAM - $7B fab in Japan expected to commence production in 2024
SK Hynix
- $106B fab complex with 800k wspm capacity and 200k EUV - rst fab completed in 2025 Nanya
- DRAM - $10.7B 10nm 110k wspm fab expected to be completed in 2023; production in 2024
Powerchip Semi (PSMC)
- $10B 12-inch fab in the Tongluo Science Park; 100k wspm of 1x to 50nm technology will be put into production in stages beginning in 2023
Texas Instruments
- RFAB2 - $850M fab coming online in 2H2022 with equipment over next few years
- LFAB (acquired from Micron) - spend $3B of capex over time with target of coming online in early-2023 - more details in February at capital management call
- North Texas Fab site (option for up to 4 fabs over time) - 1st & 2nd fab construction commencing in 2022 with First fab targeting production in 2025 (70k wspm estimated)
Wafer Front End equipment spend between 2020 and 2024 by device end product is shown below:
In Figure 1.1 below, we show market shares for the global WFE equipment
market for 2022 and 2023, listing shares for the Top 5 global equipment companies and
the other equipment companies in the market.
Report Coverage
This 325-page report analyzes and forecasts the semiconductor market for 24 different equipment types, including market shares for 2023 by type:
AMHS (Automated Material Handling Systems) Market
CMP (Chemical Mechanical Planarization) Market
Clean Market
- Plasma Strip
- Spray Processors
- Wet Stations
Deposition Market
- ALD
- Epitaxy
- MOCVD
- LPCVD (non-tube)
- LPCVD (tube)
- PECVD
- PVD
Ion Implantation Market
Lithography Market
- Direct-Write E-Beam Lithography
- Mask-Making Lithography
- Steppers
Oxidation/Diffusion Market
Photoresist Processing (Track) Market
RTP Market
Plasma Etch Market
Process Control Market
- Lithography Metrology
- Thin-Film Metrology
- Wafer Inspection and Defect Review
The report in pdf format profiles 6 U.S., 11 European, and 26 Asian equipment companies.
An Excel File accompanies the report and covers Market Shares of each company by each equipment type between 2012 and 2023.
Driving forces of technology and geopolitics are analyzed and forecast by semiconductor type including China markets.