IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Security and Trust 2025 Predictions

Description

This IDC study presents the top 10 security and trust predictions in 2025 and beyond."We are at an important inflection point in the transparency of digital products. Bills of materials (BOMs), evidentiary requirements, digital sovereignty, and concerns regarding how AI technologies are built and maintained have pushed us toward a greater understanding of how trust is gained and lost. In the following ten Security & Trust predictions are coming changes that empower organizations with AI and empower citizens with data transparency and accountability," said Grace Trinidad, research director, Trust Measurements and Metrics at IDC.

Product Code: US52640824

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
- Prediction 1: By 2027, 40% of Businesses Will Support DIY Security for Developers and Line-of-Business Application Owners Through AI-Enabled Automation of Security Policy Generation from Natural Language Commands
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 2: By 2027, Only 35% of Consumer-Facing Companies Will Use AI-Powered IAM for Personalized, Secure User Experience Due to Continued Difficulties with Process Integration and Cost Concerns
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 3: By 2026, Five Sovereign Countries Will Establish Data Embassies in the EU
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 4: By 2028, Precipitated by AI BOM Requirements, 85% of Data Products Will Include a Data BOM Detailing Data Collection, Edits Made, Data Cleanup, and How Consent Was Obtained
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 5: By 2025, the Same Evidentiary Requirements That Exist for Current Compliance Audits Will Extend to 100% of AI Products, Requiring Organizations to Demonstrate LLM Build and Exclusion of Sensitive Data
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 6: By 2025, the EU and the G7 Will Adopt a Framework Allowing Individuals to Block the Use of PII in AI, Regulate Where That Information Can Be Geographically Stored, and Correct Erroneous Information
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 7: By 2029, 50% of Organizations Will Use External Attack Surface Scan Data to Monitor Their Partners/Suppliers in an Effort to Understand Third-Party Risk
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 8: In 2025, 25% of Organizations Will Move from POC to Production in Specific GenAI Use Cases Without a Comprehensive Risk-Based Assessment of Their Trust Capabilities, Thus Creating a House of Cards
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 9: By 2026, the Intersection of Data Privacy Regulations with Sustainability Initiatives Will Drive a 20% Increase in Demand for Certified Data Erasure Solutions and Services for Refurbished Devices
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 10: By 2025, 66% of ESG Service Providers Will Add Managed ESG Services to Their Portfolios as an Option for Their Respective Clients to Outsource the Management of ESG Risk
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Business Impact
  - Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

AI-Driven Business Models - Moving from AI Experimentation to Monetization
The Drive to Automate - Toward a Data-Driven Future
Future Proofing Against Environmental Risks - ESG Operationalization and Risk Management
Regulatory Flux - Navigating Compliance Challenges in a Shifting Policy Landscape
Expanding Digital Security Frontiers - Fortification Against Multiplying Threats
Geoeconomic Reordering - Rethinking Globalization, Supply Chains, and Macroeconomic Challenges
Responsible and Human-Centric Technology - Ethics in the Enterprise

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