PUBLISHER: Grand View Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1530194
PUBLISHER: Grand View Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1530194
Autonomous Train Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Automation Grade, By Train Type, By Application (Passenger, Freight), By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2024 - 2030
Autonomous Train Market Size & Trends
The global autonomous train market size was estimated at USD 9.82 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.9% from 2024 to 2030. An autonomous train is a train capable of operating without a human driver. This technology has the potential to revolutionize rail travel by offering increased efficiency and safety. The global market is driven by factors such as increased safety focus, growing demand for efficient and sustainable transportation, and government support for autonomous technologies in trains.
Autonomous trains rely on a combination of sensors, cameras, antennas, Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR), Radio Detection and Ranging (RADAR), and advanced computer systems to perceive their surroundings, control speed and braking, and adhere to schedules. For instance, in August 2023, Aeva Inc., a pioneer in advanced sensing and perception systems, announced that Railergy, a provider of railway automation solutions, has selected Aeva Inc.'s cutting-edge Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) 4D LiDAR technology to power the perception system for its autonomous train operation solution.
Aeva Inc.'s Aeries II sensors offer crucial real-time velocity data and high-resolution sensing capabilities, enabling the detection of obstacles that could potentially impede the safe operation of driverless trains. Thus, growing technological advancements and increased adoption of technologies such as LIDAR and RADAR in autonomous trains are further boosting the growth of the market.
Furthermore, the market is further driven by the rising demand for enhanced mobility amidst the challenges of increasing urbanization. As urban areas become more densely populated, the shift from road-based to rail-based transportation is becoming more evident, presenting a compelling opportunity for the autonomous train market. This transition is driven by the need for efficient and sustainable transportation solutions, aligning with the growing emphasis on environmentally friendly urban mobility. Moreover, the foreseeable shortage of trained drivers in the immediate future highlights the urgency and relevance of autonomous train technology.
In June 2030, Hitachi Rail STS announced the completion and commencement of passenger service for the first phase of Honolulu's new metro system, named 'Skyline'. This marks the debut of the first fully autonomous metro system in the U.S. The fully electrically powered system will transition individuals to sustainable transportation, shifting them away from private cars and toward a cleaner, less congested environment. This shift aims to diminish emissions and alleviate traffic congestion, benefitting both residents and visitors in Honolulu. Such initiatives by several manufacturers are expected to bode well for the growth of the market.
The development, installation, and maintenance of autonomous train systems can be extremely expensive, posing a significant financial barrier for rail operators. Autonomous trains require extensive infrastructure changes that may not be compatible with existing railway networks, making integration and deployment complex. In addition, autonomous systems may struggle to effectively respond to unpredictable events or emergencies, potentially falling short of the adaptability and decision-making capabilities of human drivers. In addition, the risk of hacking and cyberattacks on autonomous train systems is a major concern, as an effective breach could potentially disable or hijack the trains, compromising safety. Thus, factors such as high costs, infrastructure challenges, and cybersecurity risks could hamper the growth of the market.
Global Autonomous Train Market Report Segmentation
The report forecasts revenue growth at global, regional, and country levels and provides an analysis of the latest industry trends in each of the sub-segments from 2018 to 2030. For this study, Grand View Research has segmented the global autonomous train market based on automation grade, train type, application and region.
- Automation Grade Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
- GoA 1
- GoA 2
- GoA 3
- GoA 4
- Train Type Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
- Metro/Monorail
- High-speed Rail
- Light Rail
- Application Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
- Passenger
- Freight
- Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2018 - 2030)
- North America
U.S.
Canada
Mexico
- Europe
Germany
UK
France
- Asia Pacific
China
India
Japan
Australia
South Korea
- Latin America
Brazil
- Middle East & Africa
UAE
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Table of Contents
Chapter 1. Methodology and Scope
- 1.1. Market Segmentation & Scope
- 1.2. Market Definitions
- 1.3. Information Procurement
- 1.4. Information Analysis
- 1.4.1. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
- 1.4.2. Data Validation & Publishing
- 1.5. Research Scope and Assumptions
- 1.6. List of Data Sources
Chapter 2. Executive Summary
- 2.1. Market Outlook
- 2.2. Segmental Outlook
- 2.3. Competitive Landscape Snapshot
Chapter 3. Market Variables, Trends, and Scope
- 3.1. Market Lineage Outlook
- 3.2. Industry Value Chain Analysis
- 3.3. Market Dynamics
- 3.3.1. Market Driver Impact Analysis
- 3.3.2. Market Restraint Impact Analysis
- 3.3.3. Market Opportunity Impact Analysis
- 3.4. Industry Analysis Tools
- 3.4.1. Porter's Analysis
- 3.4.2. PESTEL Analysis
Chapter 4. Autonomous Train Market: Automation Grade Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 4.1. Automation Grade Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- 4.2. Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, By Automation Grade
- 4.2.1. GoA 1
- 4.2.2. GoA 2
- 4.2.3. GoA 3
- 4.2.4. GoA 4
Chapter 5. Autonomous Train Market: Train Type Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 5.1. Train Type Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- 5.2. Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, By Train Type
- 5.2.1. Metro/Monorail
- 5.2.2. High-speed Rail
- 5.2.3. Light Rail
Chapter 6. Autonomous Train Market: Application Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 6.1. Application Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- 6.2. Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application
- 6.2.1. Passenger
- 6.2.2. Freight
Chapter 7. Autonomous Train Market: Regional Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 7.1. Autonomous Train Market: Regional Outlook
- 7.2. North America
- 7.2.1. North America Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.2.2. U.S.
- 7.2.2.1. U.S. Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.2.3. Canada
- 7.2.3.1. Canada Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.2.4. Mexico
- 7.2.4.1. Mexico Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.3. Europe
- 7.3.1. Europe Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.3.2. Germany
- 7.3.2.1. Germany Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.3.3. UK
- 7.3.3.1. UK Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.3.4. France
- 7.3.4.1. France Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4. Asia Pacific
- 7.4.1. Asia Pacific Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4.2. China
- 7.4.2.1. China Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4.3. India
- 7.4.3.1. India Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4.4. Japan
- 7.4.4.1. Japan Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4.5. Australia
- 7.4.5.1. Australia Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.4.6. South Korea
- 7.4.6.1. South Korea Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.5. Latin America
- 7.5.1. Latin America Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.5.2. Brazil
- 7.5.2.1. Brazil Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.6. MEA
- 7.6.1. MEA Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.6.2. UAE
- 7.6.2.1. UAE Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.6.3. Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)
- 7.6.3.1. Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- 7.6.4. South Africa
- 7.6.4.1. South Africa Autonomous Train market estimates & forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
Chapter 8. Competitive Landscape
- 8.1. Company Categorization
- 8.2. Participant's Overview
- 8.2.1. Alstom SA
- 8.2.2. Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles
- 8.2.3. CRRC Corporation Limited
- 8.2.4. Hitachi Rail STS
- 8.2.5. Ingeteam Corporation SA
- 8.2.6. Kawasaki Heavy Industries
- 8.2.7. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd.
- 8.2.8. Siemens AG
- 8.2.9. Thales Group
- 8.2.10. Wabtec Corporation
- 8.3. Financial Performance
- 8.4. Automation Grade Benchmarking
- 8.5. Company Market Positioning
- 8.6. Company Market Share Analysis, 2023
- 8.7. Company Heat Map Analysis
- 8.8. Strategy Mapping
- 8.8.1. Expansion
- 8.8.2. Collaborations
- 8.8.3. Mergers & Acquisitions
- 8.8.4. New Automation Grade Launches
- 8.8.5. Partnerships
- 8.8.6. Others
List of Tables
- TABLE 1 Autonomous train market, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 2 Global market estimates and forecasts, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 3 Global market estimates and forecasts, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 4 Global market estimates and forecasts, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 5 Global market estimates and forecasts, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 6 GoA 1 autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 7 GoA 2 autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 8 GoA 3 autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 9 GoA 4 autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 10 Metro/Monorail autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 11 High-speed Rail autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 12 Light Rail autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 13 Passenger autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 14 Freight autonomous train market, by region, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 15 North America autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 16 North America autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 17 North America autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 18 U.S. autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 19 U.S. autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 20 U.S. autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 21 Canada autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 22 Canada autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 23 Canada autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 24 Mexico autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 25 Mexico autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 26 Mexico autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 27 Europe autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 28 Europe autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 29 Europe autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 30 Germany autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 31 Germany autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 32 Germany autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 33 UK autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 34 UK autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 35 UK autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 36 France autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 37 France autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 38 France autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 39 Asia Pacific autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 40 Asia Pacific autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 41 Asia Pacific autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 42 China autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 43 China autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 44 China autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 45 India autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 46 India autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 47 India autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 48 Japan autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 49 Japan autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 50 Japan autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 51 Australia autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 52 Australia autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 53 Australia autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 54 South Korea autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 55 South Korea autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 56 South Korea autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 57 Latin America autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 58 Latin America autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 59 Latin America autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 60 Brazil autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 61 Brazil autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 62 Brazil autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 63 Middle East & Africa autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 64 Middle East & Africa autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 65 Middle East & Africa autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 66 UAE autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 67 UAE autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 68 UAE autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 69 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 70 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 71 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 72 South Africa autonomous train market, by automation grade, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 73 South Africa autonomous train market, by train type, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 74 South Africa autonomous train market, by application, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- TABLE 75 Company Market Share, 2023
- TABLE 76 Company Heat Map Analysis
- TABLE 77 Key companies undergoing expansion
- TABLE 78 Key companies undergoing collaborations
- TABLE 79 Key companies undergoing new product launch
- TABLE 80 Key companies undergoing mergers & acquisitions
- TABLE 81 Key companies undergoing other strategies
List of Figures
- FIG. 1 Autonomous Train Market Segmentation
- FIG. 2 Information Procurement
- FIG. 3 Information Analysis
- FIG. 4 Market Formulation & Data Visualization
- FIG. 5 Data Validation & Publishing
- FIG. 6 Autonomous Train Market Snapshot
- FIG. 7 Segment Snapshot (1/2)
- FIG. 8 Competitive Landscape Snapshot
- FIG. 9 Autonomous Train Market Value, 2023 & 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 10 Autonomous Train - Industry Value Chain Analysis
- FIG. 11 Autonomous Train Market - Market Dynamics
- FIG. 12 Autonomous Train Market: PORTER's Analysis
- FIG. 13 Autonomous Train Market: PESTEL Analysis
- FIG. 14 Autonomous Train Market, by Automation Grade: Key Takeaways
- FIG. 15 Autonomous Train Market, by Automation Grade: Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- FIG. 16 GoA 1 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 17 GoA 2 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 18 GoA 3 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 19 GoA 4 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 20 Autonomous Train Market, by Train Type: Key Takeaways
- FIG. 21 Autonomous Train Market, by Train Type: Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- FIG. 22 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, by Metro/Monorail, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 23 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, by High-speed Rail, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 24 Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, by Light Rail, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 25 Autonomous Train Market, by Application: Key Takeaways
- FIG. 26 Autonomous Train Market, by Application: Market Share, 2023 & 2030
- FIG. 27 Passenger Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, 2018 - 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 28 Freight Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecasts, (USD Million)
- FIG. 29 Autonomous Train Market, by Region, 2023 & 2030 (USD Million)
- FIG. 30 Regional Marketplace: Key Takeaways
- FIG. 31 Regional Marketplace: Key Takeaways
- FIG. 32 North America Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 33 U.S. Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 34 Canada Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 35 Mexico Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 36 Europe Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 37 Germany Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 38 UK Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 39 France Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 40 Asia Pacific Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 41 China Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 42 India Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 43 Japan Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 44 Australia Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 45 South Korea Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 46 Latin America Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 47 Brazil Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 48 MEA Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 49 U.A.E Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 50 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 51 South Africa Autonomous Train Market Estimates & Forecast, 2018 - 2030 (USD Millions)
- FIG. 52 Company Market Share Analysis, 2023
- FIG. 53 Strategic Framework
