India: Telecoms Market Forecasts 2024-2029

Description

"Mobile ARPU and revenue will grow due to price increases, higher data usage and the growing availability of affordable smartphones."

Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in emerging Asia-Pacific. This report focuses on operators' core telecoms services in India.

This report provides:

a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for India
an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

Emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP)

Countries modelled individually

India

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
mobile broadband
total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
business, residential
total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
IoT
penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
business, residential
dedicated connections
penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

operator, traditional
business, residential

Traffic

Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

GDP
Population
Households
Business sites
Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
residential, business
prepaid, contract, prepaid share
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

total (retail plus wholesale)
share of GDP
per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
business, residential
per GB
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
voice, voice per minute
data, data per GB
handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
mobile broadband
IoT connectivity

Fixed:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
business, residential
voice: narrowband, VoBB
dedicated connections
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

operator, traditional
business, residential

Wholesale revenue

Mobile
Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

total
voice
data
mobile broadband
IoT
handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
business, residential

Fixed:

voice
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
business, residential

ARPU

Mobile:

total
prepaid, contract
business, residential
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G