Global Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2023-2028

Description

"The total mobile revenue worldwide will continue to grow, driven by an increase in the number of connections, rising data usage and the migration to contract plans."

Telecoms service revenue worldwide is projected to grow at a CAGR of 1% between 2023 and 2028. Traditional telecoms services such as mobile handsets, mobile broadband, fixed voice and fixed broadband (FBB) will continue to account for the majority (71.4%) of the total retail revenue in 2028.

This report and the associated data provide:

a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for the worldwide telecoms market and for eight regions (note that there are an additional 150 KPIs for Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe)
an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service in each geographical region, and a worldwide summary
an overview of operator strategies and region-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-regional comparison
a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Worldwide totals are refreshed every time any of the regional results are updated.

Geographical coverage

Regions modelled:

Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
Developed Asia-Pacific (DVAP)
Emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP)

Latin America (LATAM)
Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
North America (NA)

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
Western Europe (WE)

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business
handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
mobile broadband
total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
IoT
penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections
penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)

Pay TV

operator, traditional

Traffic

Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

GDP
Population
Households
Business sites
Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
residential, business
prepaid, contract, prepaid share
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

total (retail plus wholesale)
share of GDP
per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
per GB
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
voice, voice per minute
data, data per GB
handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
mobile broadband
IoT

Fixed:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
voice
dedicated connections
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ICT services

Pay TV

operator, traditional

Wholesale revenue

Mobile
Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

total
voice
data
mobile broadband
IoT
handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data

Fixed:

voice
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ARPU

Mobile:

total
prepaid, contract
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G